Trump's antics, baggage and growing legal problems continue to be a drag on the Republican party. —Michael
Excerpt from today’s essay for paid subscribers:
Baseball bats, political persecution…
Do the math.
The last Gallup poll I looked at before the election in August last year showed 43% Independents and 30% Democrats. Republicans had shrunk to just 24% of the electorate. The majority of those Independents were former Republicans, lean Republican or conservative Democrats.
About a third of Republicans are hardcore “I could stand in the middle of 5th Avenue and shoot somebody and I wouldn’t lose voters” Donald Trump supporters.
If enough GOP candidates split the vote, there is a sufficient amount of those hardcore supporters for Trump to win the nomination with just a plurality of the vote.
But you can’t win the general election with just 8% of the vote.
You need independents.
The question is electability…
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